Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.402708 0.464157 0.530850 0.608485 0.696238 0.792219 0.905009
2025-10-19 0.304701 0.390548 0.492709 0.622620 0.782737 0.972887 1.215004
2025-10-26 0.246073 0.341553 0.463219 0.628260 0.844730 1.117222 1.484166
2025-11-02 0.204014 0.302805 0.436084 0.626772 0.889875 1.236963 1.725673
2025-11-09 0.170612 0.268910 0.408436 0.617652 0.919349 1.333782 1.940009
2025-11-16 0.144755 0.241108 0.384367 0.608494 0.944736 1.423521 2.147848
2025-11-23 0.121446 0.213267 0.355948 0.588291 0.949997 1.482504 2.313477
2025-11-30 0.113666 0.208717 0.361994 0.620055 1.034278 1.661029 2.664139
2025-12-07 0.097669 0.188071 0.339683 0.604052 1.042166 1.724160 2.844562
2025-12-14 0.083956 0.169324 0.318039 0.586248 1.044483 1.777279 3.011173
2025-12-21 0.073207 0.154346 0.300909 0.573812 1.053627 1.840509 3.196201
2025-12-28 0.067740 0.148535 0.299203 0.587689 1.107696 1.979260 3.510756
2026-01-04 0.064539 0.146928 0.305305 0.616669 1.191235 2.174090 3.933225
2026-01-11 0.059807 0.141590 0.303832 0.631610 1.251202 2.333389 4.306928
2026-01-18 0.054583 0.134433 0.297933 0.637374 1.294541 2.466252 4.642828
2026-01-25 0.049248 0.126213 0.288880 0.635869 1.323745 2.575355 4.942825
2026-02-01 0.043839 0.116992 0.276645 0.626630 1.337094 2.656231 5.196700
2026-02-08 0.039081 0.108552 0.265035 0.617352 1.349240 2.735048 5.450609
2026-02-15 0.034042 0.098612 0.248930 0.596883 1.337130 2.767283 5.619968
2026-02-22 0.033284 0.099391 0.256978 0.629065 1.434200 3.012106 6.199292
2026-03-01 0.029374 0.091314 0.243658 0.612852 1.429629 3.060397 6.408476
2026-03-08 0.025814 0.083574 0.230175 0.594813 1.419489 3.096624 6.595714
2026-03-15 0.022964 0.077328 0.219548 0.582212 1.419824 3.153281 6.825284